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Sebastian Lerch
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Year
Neural networks for postprocessing ensemble weather forecasts
S Rasp, S Lerch
Monthly Weather Review 146 (11), 3885-3900, 2018
3752018
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts with scoringRules
A Jordan, F Krüger, S Lerch
arXiv preprint arXiv:1709.04743, 2017
2402017
Statistical postprocessing for weather forecasts–review, challenges and avenues in a big data world
S Vannitsem, JB Bremnes, J Demaeyer, GR Evans, J Flowerdew, S Hemri, ...
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1-44, 2020
1902020
Forecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation
S Lerch, TL Thorarinsdottir, F Ravazzolo, T Gneiting
Statistical Science, 106-127, 2017
1692017
Log‐normal distribution based Ensemble Model Output Statistics models for probabilistic wind‐speed forecasting
S Baran, S Lerch
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141 (691), 2289-2299, 2015
1252015
Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting
S Lerch, TL Thorarinsdottir
Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 65 (1), 21206, 2013
1142013
Predictive inference based on Markov chain Monte Carlo output
F Krüger, S Lerch, T Thorarinsdottir, T Gneiting
International Statistical Review 89 (2), 274-301, 2021
1022021
Mixture EMOS model for calibrating ensemble forecasts of wind speed
S Baran, S Lerch
Environmetrics 27 (2), 116-130, 2016
792016
Machine learning methods for postprocessing ensemble forecasts of wind gusts: A systematic comparison
B Schulz, S Lerch
Monthly Weather Review 150 (1), 235-257, 2022
682022
Combining predictive distributions for the statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts
S Baran, S Lerch
International Journal of Forecasting 34 (3), 477-496, 2018
672018
Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: Proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop
SE Haupt, W Chapman, SV Adams, C Kirkwood, JS Hosking, ...
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 379 (2194), 20200091, 2021
572021
Similarity-based semilocal estimation of post-processing models
S Lerch, S Baran
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics 66 (1 …, 2017
522017
Precipitation sensitivity to the uncertainty of terrestrial water flow in WRF-Hydro: An ensemble analysis for central Europe
J Arnault, T Rummler, F Baur, S Lerch, S Wagner, B Fersch, Z Zhang, ...
Journal of Hydrometeorology 19 (6), 1007-1025, 2018
452018
Post-processing numerical weather prediction ensembles for probabilistic solar irradiance forecasting
B Schulz, M El Ayari, S Lerch, S Baran
Solar Energy 220, 1016-1031, 2021
442021
Probabilistic predictions from deterministic atmospheric river forecasts with deep learning
WE Chapman, L Delle Monache, S Alessandrini, AC Subramanian, ...
Monthly Weather Review 150 (1), 215-234, 2022
372022
Remember the past: a comparison of time-adaptive training schemes for non-homogeneous regression
MN Lang, S Lerch, GJ Mayr, T Simon, R Stauffer, A Zeileis
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 27 (1), 23-34, 2020
362020
Simulation-based comparison of multivariate ensemble post-processing methods
S Lerch, S Baran, A Möller, J Groß, R Schefzik, S Hemri, M Graeter
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 27 (2), 349-371, 2020
342020
Machine learning for total cloud cover prediction
A Baran, S Lerch, M El Ayari, S Baran
Neural Computing and Applications 33 (7), 2605-2620, 2021
312021
Forecasting wind gusts in winter storms using a calibrated convection‐permitting ensemble
F Pantillon, S Lerch, P Knippertz, U Corsmeier
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 144 (715), 1864-1881, 2018
302018
Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post-processing, verification
T Gneiting, S Lerch, B Schulz
Solar Energy 252, 72-80, 2023
252023
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